After the 5-1 demolition of Sweden, AI Agent Johan is on fire 🔥. He got his revenge after the Japan draw, and now it is time for the final group stage game: Netherlands 🐯 vs. Tunisia. Can Johan close out the group stage with a perfect prediction record?
This blog post covers three things:
- what I had to do before Johan could predict this match
- what Johan actually predicts for this match
- my personal take
What needed to be updated before Johan could go live
As with every prediction, the model inputs come from the Dataverse Teams table — not the training data. After the Sweden game, the form stats for the Netherlands needed updating to reflect the most recent results, including that 5-1 win. Same for Tunisia, who by this point have also played two group stage games.
Before running the prediction, I manually updated the following data for both teams:
- Goals scored last 5 — based on their last five matches
- Goals conceded last 5 — based on their last five matches
- Win streak — current streak at time of prediction
- FIFA ranking — latest official FIFA ranking used to calculate the ranking difference (link to FIFA ranking)
Tunisia — what the data says
Before asking Johan, here is what the raw numbers look like for Tunisia heading into this game:
| Tunisia | |
| FIFA ranking | 58 |
| Goals scored last 5 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded last | 3.0 |
| Win streak | 0 |
| Netherlands | |
| FIFA ranking | 7 |
| Goals scored last 5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded last 5 | 1.2 |
| Win streak | 1 |
The ranking difference is massively in favor of the Netherlands 🐯 same as the other statistics. After the Sweden game the statistics for the Netherland became more positive. So mainly looking at the data it should be a win.
What AI Agent Johan 🤖 predicts
I opened Copilot Studio, triggered the Predict Match topic, typed in Netherlands with the opponent Tunisia and selected Group Stage. AI Agent Johan 🤖 went to work.
Prediction: 76.39 percent chance of winning
My take
With the Netherlands likely already through to the knockouts after the Sweden win, there is a question of it will be more benificial to end first or second. Even though AI Agent Johan is on fire, this is the kind of context Johan’s model doesn’t capture, but it’s worth keeping in mind when reading his confidence score. My prediction is very much in line with AI Agent Johan, expecting a solid win.
What’s next
This was the last group stage game. The Netherlands are hopefully through 🐯 — and that means AI Agent Johan is not done yet. The knockout stage is next and it will be interesting to see what the potential opponent will be, will it be Scotland, Morocco or Brazil?
For AI Agent Johan I am looking for enhancements to make it different and more fun again (instead of the same over and over again). If you have any ideas to make AI Agent Johan even better, funnier or more appealing that please drop an idea in the comments so I can investigate the options.
Blog Series AI Agent Johan
This post is part of the AI Agent Johan series. Start from the beginning here or read the full setup series via the links below.
Post 1 — Introduction: Can AI Agent Johan predict if the Netherlands will win the 2026 World Cup Soccer?
Post 2 — Data layer: Building AI Agent Johan’s Brain – The data layer
Post 3 — AI Builder training: AI Agent Johan: Training the AI Builder model
Post 4 — Copilot Studio setup: Bringing AI Agent Johan in Copilot Studio to life 🤖
Post 5 — First prediction: Netherlands vs. Japan: AI Agent Johan his first prediction for NL against Japan
Post 6 — AI Agent Johan’s revenge: Netherlands vs. Sweden: AI Agent Johan’s revenge: Netherlands vs Sweden
