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Confidence of AI grows

Confidence of AI grows, Dutch Team will make it to the Semifinal

Posted on July 5, 2024July 17, 2024 By Jeroen Scheper

The Quarterfinals are about to start, the Netherlands will play tomorrow against Turkey. After predicting the game against Romania correctly, the confidence of AI grows. Will it be right again is the big question.

When you look at the history of this match, it was always very close. Please find below a couple of interesting facts about the history of the Netherlands against Turkey.

  • The first game ever between the Netherlands and Turkey was a win for Turkey in 1958, 1-2. Metin Oktay scored both of the goals for Turkey.
  • The last match was also the biggest victory for the Netherlands in 2021, 6-1. Memphis Depay scored 3 goals in that game

A couple of things beforehand, the whole configuration of the table, preparation of the data, and building of the custom model can be found in this blog article.

Data

For this match against Turkey, there is not a great history when it comes to the number of matches. I The same logic is applied, which means the history is multiplied by ten, which could be in favor of any team of course depending on the result. All matches are included and transformed to the previous used format. It would still be great to receive feedback when it comes to improving the model

Data Source: Netherlands national football team: record v Turkey (11v11.com)

Confidence of AI grows

Now let’s find out what the AI Builder prediction model will predict for the match against Turkey, will it be:

  • Win, W, 806650000
  • Draw, D, 806650001
  • Lost, L, 806650002

We run the Power Automate Flow that is described in the previous blog article, with the following input:

  • Opponent = Turkey
  • Where = Home
  • Type = Tournament
  • Last2Decades = Yes

The confidence of AI has grown. The AI Prediction model does predict 806650000 which is mapped to W(Win) again. So this means that according to the AI Builder prediction model, the Netherlands will Win the game against Turkey. With a Likelihood score of 0.4709, it would mean that the Netherlands would make it to the semifinals.

Hopefully, the Netherlands will make it to the semifinal which means a new opportunity to predict.

AI Builder Artificial Intelligence Power Automate EURO2024Prediction Model

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